1 . Sweep

Look at the real board in Yahoo. In the pool on the right, hit X on everyone already gone.

Only the ~18 names in the pool. Never the whole board.

2 . Confirm

Press SWEEP DONE. Everyone left is now confirmed available, known rather than guessed.

Enter does the same thing. Taking a pick confirms it too.

3 . Read

Take the recommendation below. It is the best available player, need-aware.

Green banners are confirmed slides: value the room mispriced.

4 . Check the reach

TAKE HIM means go. DEFERRABLE means comparable players survive to your next turn, so take the scarcer position first.

Last of his band is never a reach, whatever his ADP says.

5 . Pick

Hit the big TAKE button. The clock moves to your next turn and a fresh pool loads.

Then wait, and sweep again when you are back on the clock.

My pick

Roster

of 15

Pool swept

0/0

sweep before deciding

Board heat

consumption vs expected

Take at pick 3 best available, need-aware

What changed since your last sweep

Landmarks for my next turns

Sweep the pool

Consumption since last sweep actual vs expected

Posture value from here, and how strongly held

Tier cliffs

My lineup

Keys and method

The core loop

Between your picks, mark who went. Everything else recomputes: survival, tier cliffs, posture fit, candidates, and the brief for your next turn.

Key	Action
`any letter`	Jumps to the mark box on the Live tab, or search on the Board tab
`Enter`	Marks the top match gone
`Shift+Enter`	Marks the top match as mine
`Escape`	Clears the box
`Ctrl+Z`	Undo the last pick
`+`	Records one unknown pick (a pick happened, you do not know who)
`b` then click	Bulk mode: one click per player, no confirmation

Incomplete information, handled honestly

If eleven picks have happened and you only marked five, the guide does not pretend the other six players are still available. Press +1 unknown for each pick you could not capture (or let the count drift and correct it once). Those unknown picks are then distributed across the remaining pool in proportion to how likely each player was to be taken in that window.

Every survival number then splits into two parts:

P(available at my pick) = P(not already gone unseen) x P(survives from here)

and the guide shows the second number alongside the chance he is already gone and you have not marked it. When that second number is large, the headline percentage is not to be trusted, and the Info quality box says so.

Postures, not branches

Four postures are held at once. Each is scored two ways:

Value from here , expected xVOR of all your remaining picks if you commit to that posture, computed by simulating each remaining pick against the live board. This is the decision-relevant number.
Held , how closely your roster so far already matches that posture. This is what you are actually doing, whatever you intended.

When the highest-value posture stops being the one you are holding, the guide says so, names what the new posture commits you to, and prices the difference. No pre-written branches: the tree is too wide and dies on contact.

Reach prevention

A reach warning on ADP delta alone is useless, because disagreeing with the market is the whole point of the board. The test used here is different:

It is only a reach if deferring costs nothing.
  comparable players remain at his position (within 8 xVOR), AND
  P(at least one of them survives to my next pick) is high.

If he is the last of his tier, it is not a reach at any ADP, and the guide says that explicitly rather than staying quiet. The comparables and the tier-survival probability are both shown, so you can disagree with the call.

Survival model and its assumption

Draft slot is treated as normally distributed around ADP, with the real measured standard deviation from Fantasy Football Calculator's 10-team half-PPR mocks where available, else max(6, 0.18 x ADP). Picks are treated as independent, which they are not: real drafts run. The position-run counter is the manual correction, and the landmark bands are deliberately coarse for the same reason.

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